thecryptobasic.com
XRP has now started to break above the 90-day resistance that began in October 2025. Could this mean the end of the downtrend?
After starting 2025 on a bullish note, XRP slipped into a multi-month bearish situation during the last three months of the year, leading to an 11% overall annual decline. Specifically, XRP soared to a yearly peak of $3.65 in July 2025, but it all went downhill from there. After what seemed like a two-month choppy price action, the downtrend picked up fully in October 2025.
Amid the bearish pressure, XRP collapsed 35.38% in Q4 2025, contributing to the 11% annual drop. Notably, this downward push that began in October 2025 brought XRP underneath a long-term descending resistance trendline.
XRP Finally Breaks Above the 90-Day Resistance
Waters Above, a prominent trader and analyst who calls himself an “esoteric investor,” recently called attention to this resistance trendline in one of his latest analyses. According to the market analyst, XRP has now started to break above this resistance, a development that could signal the starting phase of a long-term recovery from the prevalent downtrend.
Specifically, data from the analyst’s chart shows that this resistance began forming after XRP dropped from $3.1 on Oct. 2. Repeated attempts to nullify its formation occurred from Oct. 2 to 4, but the bulls failed to mount enough pressure, witnessing lower highs on each successive day.
After the Oct. 10 market crash, the bears took full control of the market, with this resistance trendline forming fully. From here, the next attempt to break above it emerged in mid-November, when the XRP price retested the $2.6 level. However, the resistance proved insurmountable, leading to subsequent declines.
Another attempt came up on Dec. 9, but, like the previous ones, it also failed. Now, XRP appears to have broken above this resistance trendline with the recent 6.71% intraday gain on Jan. 2, 2026. XRP has since built on this upsurge, up 9.06% this year, as it attempts to now secure a daily close above the trendline.
What Next for XRP?
Notably, if such a close plays out, XRP’s next line of action would be to flip this trendline from resistance to support, which would set the stage for a further push toward ultimate recovery. As recently reported by The Crypto Basic, market analyst Chart Nerd also confirmed that XRP has begun forming higher lows around the support of a multi-month descending channel.
According to Chart Nerd, once XRP breaks the resistance at the upper trendline of the channel, sitting around $2.1, its next target would be the $2.7 area, from which it collapsed to the current bearish position. For XRP to have a chance at reaching this mark, it would first need to secure a candlestick close above the 90-day trendline resistance identified by Waters Above.
Meanwhile, Tara, another market analyst, recently highlighted that the recent recovery was a good start to the new year. She confirmed that XRP would witness local resistance at $1.96 on this recovery path. Today, XRP has pushed above this level, now trading for $2.04. Tara believes that if XRP can maintain a position above $1.88, its next target could be $2.3.
