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While XRP has faced bearish pressure, analyst EGRAG Crypto recently suggested that higher long-term targets look reasonable when considering XRP’s fractal structure.
Notably, XRP continues to struggle alongside the rest of the crypto market, having held a downward trend for several months. Since August 2025, the crypto token has fallen 34.53%, with three bearish monthly closes out of four.
XRP Remains Bullish Despite Short-Term Noise
December also shows another 2.91% drop so far, with XRP on track to record a fourth bearish monthly close. However, despite this weakness, market analyst EGRAG Crypto still argues that XRP’s long-term setup points toward strength rather than exhaustion.
In his latest analysis, he called attention to a large fractal that has continued to develop on the weekly chart. The market pundit explained that XRP has spent a long stretch building a broad sideways base and that the market refused to break down until very recently.
EGRAG believes this behavior is typical of an accumulation phase, not a topping structure. Currently, XRP changes hands around $2.08 and sits just above an important weekly support level of around $2. The analyst insists that XRP would maintain its bullish roadmap as long as it protects this level.
XRP Following a Long-Term Fractal
Data from his chart shows a large fractal box representing a past consolidation or accumulation phase and a subsequent breakout. Interestingly, he also presented a yellow outline that shows the projected path if the same structure repeats.
For context, the past consolidation (accumulation) began in November 2023, when XRP traded for $0.66 and lasted until November 2024. During this phase, XRP ranged between $0.4 and $0.6 until it broke out in November 2024, leading to the expansion that pushed its price above $2.
EGRAG believes XRP may be following the same fractal. According to him, XRP already completed the accumulation period, as it ranged between $2 and $3 from January to December 2025. The analyst noted that the next stage is the expansion phase. According to him, this timing aligns with what he considers the mid-2025 to 2026 extended crypto cycle.
Data from his chart shows a projected rally that could drive XRP toward the $14.82 to $15.70 region. Based on this setup, he argues that targets at $7, $12, and $15 do not look “crazy” when traders zoom out and study how XRP behaves during its stronger moves.
For context, XRP would need to surge between 236% and 621% to reach the $7 to $15 price range. EGRAG added that XRP often moves quickly once it snaps out of long sideways phases, which makes these levels achievable if momentum returns.
Risks to Consider
However, despite his bullish outlook, EGRAG asked traders to stay realistic about fractal analysis, mentioning five risks that come with the analysis. Specifically, he warned that markets never repeat perfectly and that traders can easily force patterns that do not belong.
He also stressed that liquidity changes from cycle to cycle, macro events can disrupt timing, and fixating on targets can distract traders from important structural signals. According to EGRAG, fractals only show what might happen, not what must happen, and they naturally carry heavy bias.
Despite those warnings, he maintains that XRP still holds a constructive setup on the higher-timeframe chart. As long as XRP keeps the weekly price above the $2 zone, EGRAG expects the long-term structure to stay intact.