en.cryptonomist.ch
Summary
In summary
- D1 RSI at 38.05 → bearish bias; buyers look hesitant.
- EMA, MACD, Bollinger Bands, ATR, and pivots: not provided.
- H1 RSI 49.09 → intraday balance; momentum fragile.
- M15 RSI 57.92 → short-term bids appear, but shallow.
- This BONK Analysis favors caution while data gaps persist.
Multi-timeframe analysis
BONK Analysis — D1, H1, M15
D1: Price vs EMA20/50/200 is not provided. Without EMAs, we cannot judge trend alignment; typically, trading below the 50/200-day EMAs would confirm sellers’ control.
RSI 38.05: The oscillator sits below 50, indicating bearish momentum. This suggests rallies could fade unless strength pushes RSI back above 50.
MACD: not provided (line/signal/hist). Momentum confirmation is limited; traders may rely more on RSI and structure until MACD prints.
Bollinger Bands: not provided (upper/middle/lower). Without bands, it’s hard to gauge stretch; typically, hugging the lower band would signal persistent sell pressure.
ATR: not provided. Volatility risk can’t be quantified; size conservatively when uncertainty is high.
Pivot: not provided (PP/R1/S1). Missing pivots reduce clarity on intraday trigger points; watch reclaimed moving averages when available.
H1: EMAs not provided. Intraday trend is unclear, but RSI 49.09 shows a neutral tilt, implying balanced flows with a slight downside risk if it slips under 48–49.
MACD: not provided. Without histogram cues, momentum bursts may be choppy; patience helps around session opens.
Bollinger/ATR: not provided. This keeps volatility estimates opaque; avoid over-leverage on sudden wicks.
M15: EMAs not provided. The short-term RSI 57.92 leans bullish, hinting at dip buys on minor pullbacks, though signals remain fragile without trend filters.
Summary: D1 is bearish, H1 neutral, M15 modestly constructive. The higher timeframe dominates, so overall tone remains cautious unless buyers reclaim key references.
Key levels
BONK Analysis levels
| Level | Type | Bias/Note |
|---|---|---|
| EMA20 | EMA | not provided — early trend gauge; reclaim would aid bulls. |
| EMA50 | EMA | not provided — medium-term control; below it favors sellers. |
| EMA200 | EMA | not provided — long-term trendline; key for cycle bias. |
| Upper/Middle/Lower | Bollinger | not provided — bands frame volatility and mean reversion. |
| PP | Pivot | not provided — acts as intraday equilibrium. |
| R1 / S1 | Pivot | not provided — breakout failure or reversal triggers often occur here. |
Trading scenarios
BONK Analysis scenarios
Bullish — Trigger: A clean reclaim of the 20-day EMA (not provided) with RSI pushing above 50. Target: middle Bollinger band and 50-day EMA (both not provided). Invalidation: loss of reclaimed EMA on a closing basis. Risk: Stops 0.5–1.0× ATR (not provided) due to uncertainty.
Bearish — Trigger: Sustained trade below the daily equilibrium (PP not provided) while RSI stays sub-45. Target: approach toward the lower Bollinger band (not provided). Invalidation: close back above the 20-day EMA. Risk: Consider 0.5–1.0× ATR (not provided) to respect potential squeezes.
Neutral — Trigger: Sideways chop around intraday balance (H1 RSI near 50). Target: mean-reversion to the middle band (not provided). Invalidation: decisive break and hold beyond R1/S1 (not provided). Risk: 0.3–0.6× ATR (not provided) as consolidation often whipsaws.
Market context
Total crypto market cap: $3.77T; 24h change -1.06%. BTC dominance: 58.16%. Fear & Greed: 29 (Fear). High BTC dominance and Fear sentiment usually weigh on altcoins, so BONK could face headwinds until risk appetite improves.
Ecosystem (DeFi or chain)
DEX fees snapshot: Uniswap V3 daily fees up 23.33% and Curve DEX up 54.23%, indicating active routing during volatility. Uniswap V2 is flat day-on-day but up 439.29% monthly; Uniswap V4 and Fluid DEX show recent declines. Mixed fees suggest selective participation across DeFi platforms.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. #NFA #DYOR
For research on institutional trends in crypto, we recommend this BIS research report on institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies.