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Summary
TAO in summary
- D1 neutral regime with price at 366.20 USDT above the 20/50/200 EMAs → TAO Analysis suggests buyers have a slight edge, but control is not decisive.
- RSI 52.26 and MACD positive histogram (6.67) → mild upside momentum while still within a broader range.
- PP 364.47, R1 386.83, S1 343.83 → pivot map frames support and resistance for near-term reactions.
- ATR 63.16 on D1 → volatility is meaningful; risk sizing matters in this TAO Analysis.
TAO Analysis: Multi-timeframe view
D1 — Daily structure
EMA20/50/200: Price at 366.20 USDT trades above 20 EMA (359.08), 50 EMA (347.60), and 200 EMA (358.81). This positioning hints that buyers have reclaimed short-term trend, yet the declared regime stays neutral.
Bittensor (TAO) – live price and market data
RSI (14) at 52.26: slightly above 50, indicating a modest bullish bias. Momentum feels constructive but not aggressive.
MACD: Line 18.10 above Signal 11.43 with a positive Histogram 6.67. This confirms improving momentum, suggesting dips could attract bids if conditions hold.
Bollinger Bands: Mid 346.00, Upper 440.04, Lower 251.96. Price sits above the mid-band, implying room toward the upper band if buyers sustain pressure; volatility looks contained inside the envelope.
ATR (14) at 63.16: elevated enough to demand disciplined stops; swings may be wide within the range.
Pivot (PP/R1/S1): PP 364.47, R1 386.83, S1 343.83. Holding above PP supports a constructive tone; losing it could quickly flip intraday sentiment.
H1 — Intraday bias
EMAs: Price below H1 20/50/200 EMAs (372.06/388.23/382.61). Intraday trend leans soft; sellers fade rallies unless the PP is reclaimed.
RSI 42.54: below 50, showing hesitant demand. Momentum feels fragile, though not capitulating.
MACD: Line -8.46 above Signal -10.13 with positive Histogram 1.68. Bearish pressure is easing; a mean-reversion bounce is possible if PP 366.60 is reclaimed.
Bollinger/ATR: Mid 369.96 with bands 349.30–390.62; ATR 11.47. Volatility is moderate; expect two-way action around intraday pivot levels.
Pivot: PP 366.60, R1 368.10, S1 364.70. Reclaiming PP could tilt momentum upward; losing S1 risks a retest of the lower band.
M15 — Micro structure
EMAs: Price near 20 EMA 365.59 and 50 EMA 367.70, far below 200 EMA 389.90. Micro structure is compressed; direction likely follows the next break.
Altcoin season on the way? All the hidden signals
RSI 51.14: near-neutral with a slight bullish lean. Buyers are present but cautious.
MACD: Line 0.37 vs Signal 0.47, Histogram -0.10. Momentum is flat; a small fade unless a quick reclaim of 366.77 (R1) appears.
Bollinger/ATR: Mid 366.81, bands 357.84–375.78; ATR 5.55. Tight ranges favor quick scalps until a catalyst emerges.
Overall read: D1 is neutral with a mild bullish tilt, H1 leans soft, and M15 is balanced. This TAO Analysis supports a cautious, range-aware stance.
Related: Crypto News Weekly: What Awaits Us This Week?
TAO price Analysis: Key levels
| Level | Type | Bias/Note |
|---|---|---|
| 386.83 | Pivot R1 (D1) | Major resistance |
| 364.47 | Pivot PP (D1) | Balance/trigger |
| 343.83 | Pivot S1 (D1) | Primary support |
| 359.08 | EMA20 (D1) | Dynamic support |
| 358.81 | EMA200 (D1) | Trend guardrail |
| 347.60 | EMA50 (D1) | Deeper support |
| 440.04 | Bollinger Upper (D1) | Stretch resistance |
| 346.00 | Bollinger Mid (D1) | Mean reversion |
| 251.96 | Bollinger Lower (D1) | Max draw support |
| 366.60 | Pivot PP (H1) | Intraday trigger |
| 368.10 | Pivot R1 (H1) | Near-term cap |
| 364.70 | Pivot S1 (H1) | Near-term floor |
TAO price Analysis: Trading scenarios
Neutral (main)
Trigger: Price holds above 364.47 (PP) and 359.08 (EMA20) on D1.
Target: 386.83 (R1), with a stretch toward 440.04 (upper band) if volatility expands.
Invalidation: Daily close below 358.81 (EMA200) weakens the setup.
Risk: Consider stops around 0.5–1.0× ATR (≈31.58–63.16 USDT) given current volatility.
Bullish
Trigger: Reclaim 366.60 (H1 PP) and break 368.10 (H1 R1); momentum confirmed above 386.83 (D1 R1).
Target: 386.83 first, then 440.04 if buyers press the trend.
Invalidation: Back below 364.47 (PP) would flag a failed breakout.
Risk: Stops 0.5–1.0× ATR (≈31.58–63.16 USDT) to account for swings.
Bearish
Trigger: Lose 364.47 (PP) and 359.08 (EMA20); acceleration below 343.83 (S1) would confirm control for sellers.
Target: 346.00 (BB mid) as first magnet, then 343.83 (S1).
Invalidation: Recovery above 368.10 (H1 R1) neutralizes immediate downside.
Risk: Use 0.5–1.0× ATR (≈31.58–63.16 USDT) to avoid whipsaws.
See also: XRP analysis: Ripple Defends Pivot Amid Downside Pressure
TAO Market context
Total market cap: approximately 3.67T USD with a -3.07% 24h change. BTC dominance: 57.46%.
Fear & Greed Index: 22 — Extreme Fear. High BTC dominance and risk aversion usually weigh on altcoins, so TAO may see reactive flows rather than trend-following demand.
Get the latest on TAO on official Bittensor explorer.
TAO ecosystem and DeFi
DEX fees snapshot: Uniswap V3 daily -0.55% with +9.68% weekly and +56.71% monthly; Fluid DEX daily -9.07%, weekly +23.87%, monthly +21.95%; Uniswap V4 daily -12.92%, weekly +12.63%, monthly +27.15%.
Curve DEX shows strong traction: daily +22.56%, weekly +104.64%, monthly +131.81%. Uniswap V2 is mixed: daily -18.55%, weekly -33.74%, but a large +2053.42% on 30d basis.
Overall, fee trends are mixed, suggesting selective participation across DeFi — a backdrop that can keep TAO flows tactical rather than directional.