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With Ripple now holding over 35% of the total XRP supply in escrow, what could XRP price surge to if a burn of the escrow triggers a mega bull run?
Notably, XRP’s total supply currently stands at about 99.985 billion tokens. Of this figure, Ripple controls 35.608 billion in escrow accounts, while 64.362 billion tokens circulate in the market.
Could Ripple Burn Its XRP Escrow?
Amid the current supply setup, discussions around Ripple’s balance have emerged within the XRP community. Many community members believe Ripple should burn its escrow balance. These individuals often argue that the move would create scarcity and push the price higher.
To have an idea, we asked Google Gemini what might happen if Ripple eliminated all 35.6 billion tokens in escrow, and the market responded with a bullish wave.
XRP Price if an Escrow Burn Triggers a Bull Run
Responding, Gemini described such a move as a game-changer for XRP. According to the chatbot, this comes down to simple economics. When you slash supply but keep demand steady or rising, the price usually climbs.
Gemini compared this possibility to Shiba Inu’s dramatic run. When Vitalik Buterin burned a massive portion of SHIB, the supply shock fueled a 420% rally as investors rushed in, afraid of missing out.
Right now, XRP trades for $2.82. Gemini explained that if Ripple destroyed the escrow, the total supply would shrink to the same 64.362 billion already in circulation, instantly making XRP more scarce.
From there, Gemini presented a few scenarios. First, if XRP repeated SHIB’s 420% surge, its price could leap from $3.01 to roughly $12.64, with a market cap climbing past $813 billion. However, the chatbot admitted that this kind of spike would be extreme and would only happen under very specific market conditions.
It then presented a less bullish scenario. According to the chatbot, if XRP doubled or tripled in value after the burn, which is likely to be the most realistic reaction, its price would land between $6.02 and $9.03. Nonetheless, this outcome still relies on the market reacting positively, because a smaller supply alone doesn’t guarantee growth.
Essentially, Gemini believes a complete escrow burn could light up XRP’s price and possibly push it as high as $12.64 in the best-case scenario. Meanwhile, more realistic targets sit in the $6 to $9 range. Still, the analysis makes clear that nothing is certain in crypto.