Dogecoin (DOGE) saw a substantial 19.8% surge to reach $0.2016 early Wednesday, as news of Donald Trump securing a second presidential term rippled across markets.
The DOGE market cap has now swelled from $24.65 billion to $29.08 billion, underscoring significant capital inflows into the meme-fueled cryptocurrency.
Analysts have been quick to weigh in, with many noting the potential for further upside — albeit tempered by the coin’s inherent volatility and its dependence on social media-driven catalysts.
Nic Puckrin, co-founder and CEO of Coin Bureau, pointed to a specific reason for the spike:
“Dogecoin could also be rallying on the very real prospects that Elon Musk [a long-time Dogecoin proponent] could be appointed to head the Department of Government Efficiency in a Trump administration.”
This speculation traces back to comments Trump made in September about appointing Musk to a “government efficiency commission.” Musk himself has since referred to this imagined role on social media as the “Department of Government Efficiency” — or, fittingly, “D.O.G.E.”
Dogecoin market analysis
Dogecoin’s recent performance shows resilience, with a 162% price increase over the past year, outperforming 73% of the top 100 crypto assets and beating both Bitcoin and Ethereum in comparative gains.
DOGE is currently trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), a traditionally bullish signal that indicates strong upward momentum. In the past 30 days, DOGE has enjoyed 17 green days — a 57% success rate — suggesting solid market confidence.
However, even with this latest rally, the coin remains down 73% from its all-time high, and given inflationary pressures, DOGE would now require significantly more capital to revisit those historic highs.
Crypto analyst Jake Wujastyk noted that DOGE seems poised to test a breakout above the $0.20 level, a critical psychological and technical barrier.
$DOGE Department Of Government Efficiency attempting to breakout. #Dogecoin pic.twitter.com/PgB3iWJTXG
— Jake Wujastyk (@Jake__Wujastyk) November 6, 2024
With the Department of Government Efficiency narrative adding fuel, we’re seeing renewed enthusiasm, but it appears DOGE will need sustained buying pressure to decisively break above the $0.20 range
If DOGE can clear this hurdle, it could establish a new support level, though the path forward may not be without volatility.
Key Dogecoin price levels to watch
The recent rally has pushed DOGE towards a new yearly high, a level that traders are closely monitoring.
On the technical front, breaking above $0.20636 could validate a more sustained uptrend and possibly set DOGE on course for further gains in the near term.
Meanwhile, popular analyst Kaleo has floated a highly optimistic scenario, suggesting DOGE could hit $0.40 this week.
$DOGE TO 40 CENTS THIS WEEK
— K A L E O (@CryptoKaleo) November 6, 2024
While Kaleo’s outlook underscores the speculative appeal of DOGE, it is an ambitious target, as doubling the current price in such a short span would require unprecedented buying pressure.
DOGE’s current rally, driven largely by media hype and political speculation, might appeal to short-term traders, but those seeking a new all-time high may need to temper expectations.
While the “Department of Government Efficiency” narrative has certainly captured imaginations, the fundamental barriers remain: for DOGE to revisit past highs, it would require substantial and sustained capital inflows that could be challenging to maintain in the current economic environment.