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IS Now Polygon’s (MATIC) Golden Hour? Unpacking the Accumulation Phase

source-logo  beincrypto.com 03 April 2024 00:04, UTC

Polygon (MATIC) price faced a significant decline over the past 48 hours, bringing its two-week-long drawdown to a potential halt.

From here, the likely outcome will be an uptrend, making MATIC a rather profitable addition to portfolios.

Polygon Investors Bullish?

MATIC price under $0.900 is the first such instance since mid-February. The cryptocurrency marked a high of $1.26 in mid-March and since then has been engaged in a decline. This has resulted in the altcoin losing its value to the point where it seems like a rather good option to accumulate.

The Market Value evinces this to the Realized Value (MVRV) ratio as well. The MVRV ratio tracks investor gains/losses. Polygon’s 30-day MVRV, now at -14.75%, indicates losses, possibly prompting accumulation. Historically, MATIC within -5% to -15% MVRV often precedes rallies, terming this area as an opportunity zone.

Polygon MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Additionally, the possibility of selling MATIC among investors is rather low at the moment. The reason behind this is the lack of profits. According to the historical break-even metric, nearly 53% of all investors are at a loss, leaving less than 42% of investors in profit.

Polygon Historical Break-Even. Source: IntoTheBlock

Given that the price is declining right now, 42% of investors will refrain from selling their holdings at a lower price than Polygon. This will give accumulators an opportunity to witness some upside, consequently pushing Polygon’s price upwards.

MATIC Price Prediction: Recovery Awaits

If Polygon investors make their next move bullish instead of bearish, the likely outcome will be a rise in MATIC price. Trading above the $0.88 support level, in confluence with the 100-day EMA, the altcoin will potentially bounce off from here to reclaim the $0.92 resistance.

This price level has been tested as support multiple times in the past and would serve as a boost to the Polygon token to breach the $1.0 price point.

MATIC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

However, if the $0.88 support is lost, the altcoin could slip to $0.81, and falling through this level would invalidate the bullish thesis, leaving MATIC vulnerable to losing $0.80.

beincrypto.com