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Circle's Allaire: Stablecoins Could Expand by Trillions in 10 Years, Will Be Integral Part of Global Financial System

source-logo  coindesk.com 24 October 2024 19:04, UTC

Stablecoins could capture 5%-10% share of the global money supply over the next decade, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire said.

Next year will be pivotal for stablecoin regulations, Allaire said, anticipating many countries in the G20 group and emerging markets having laws in place by the end of 2025.

The stablecoin market could grow to a $5-$10 trillion market in ten years as digital money adoption grows and increasingly becomes part of the global financial system, Jeremy Allaire, CEO of Circle, the company behind the USDC (USDC) and EURC cryptocurrencies, said in an interview with CoinDesk.

Allaire said that he envisions stablecoins capturing 5%-10% share of a global money supply of $100 trillion over the next decade as the technology spreads in similar fashion to previous internet-based innovations such as video streaming and online shopping.

"We are at the very early stages of stablecoin adoption but over the next ten, twenty years, this technology will be part of the global financial system," he said.

Stablecoins are one of the most popular innovations in crypto, bridging government-issued fiat currencies on traditional financial rails with blockchain-based digital assets, facilitating trading and transactions. Taken together their current market cap is about $170 billion. Because of their non-volatile nature combined with blockchain's speed and near-instant settlements, they are increasingly used for everyday economic activities such as payments and remittances, especially in developing countries with less robust banking systems and rapidly devaluing local currencies like Argentina and Nigeria.

Circle's USDC token is the second-largest stablecoin on the market, growing to $35 billion since it was started six years ago with crypto exchange giant Coinbase. Rival issuer Tether's USDT, has about a $120 billion a market cap. Market observers partly attributed Tether's faster growth to focusing on emerging regions where dollar access is limited versus Circle's focus on developed and heavily regulated markets like the U.S. and E.U.

Allaire, however, said he sees substantial growth of USDC use in emerging markets such as Latin America and Southeast Asia, especially among fintech companies servicing local businesses and households.

One of the "cool examples," Allaire said, is that more local foreign currency brokers specializing on cross-border payments and currency conversions leveraging USDC for settling trades between small and medium enterprises. Another instance was an anecdote from one of Circle's partners who told Allaire about "a multi-$100 million energy order between a supplier in the Middle East and a buyer in Africa" that was facilitated by USDC.

Another example of growing USDC adoption as a payments vehicle is U.S.-based fintech firm Stripe reintroducing USDC transactions for merchants this October. In the first 24 hours, users from 70 countries chose the USDC payment options, Stripe product manager Jennifer Lee posted on X.

"There's a new [company] every week that uses USDC, and they don't even have to do deals with us" to build and use Circle's products, he said. "The beauty of what we've built is it's an open, public infrastructure for digital dollars on the internet."

Global stablecoin regulations

Circle laid out plans to go public earlier this year, but the upcoming U.S. elections in November and the uncertainty about the next administration's view on crypto weighs on many U.S.-based digital asset firms.

Allaire said he remains committed to taking the company public regardless of who wins the elections in November, but acknowledged that the results may potentially impact the timeline when it could become reality.

"Circle is focused on building a highly transparent and compliant financial infrastructure, and we believe becoming a publicly traded company will reinforce that trust and accountability," he said.

He emphasized that stablecoin legislation enjoys bipartisan support in the U.S., and the Payment Stablecoin Act is at a very advanced stage.

It's not just the U.S., regulating stablecoins is a top priority globally and next year will be pivotal, Allaire said.

"Most major financial hubs already have stablecoin laws that are either on the books or are in consultation or in the legislature," he said. "By the end of 2025, huge numbers of G20 countries and many emerging markets will have stablecoin regulation."

coindesk.com