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As market trades an unprecedented 23.7 billion options expiry on December 26, 2025, Bitcoin goes into a major trading session. This becomes the biggest options settlement in crypto-history and puts an extreme strain on short-term price action. Crypto Rover is straightforward with its risk warning, where traders should anticipate more volatility as the derivatives contracts expire and dealers unwind hedging positions in size. Such changes tend to exaggerate market movements particularly at times of high liquidity like this event.
The gamma exposure chart provided with the warning indicates a sharp spike with almost 16 percent of total exposure on the expiry day. This has caused a high gamma level to compel market makers to quickly purchase or sell Bitcoin to stay delta-neutral. This effect will either keep prices close to major levels of strikes or result in aggressive actions with price moving out of control areas. Previous expiry statistics of the same expiries indicate that there has been an intraday variation between 5 and 10 percent which strengthens the anticipation of extreme changes.
Traders Brace to Post-Expiry Breakout
The general expectation among the market participants is that it will be a turbulent session. Most traders have characterized the situation as a bumpy ride, which is uncertain but still an opportunity. Bitcoin is still under the long-term consolidation range of between 85,000 to 92,000, which is still observed by the analysts. As soon as the options pressure is out of the market, the momentum traders anticipate a clear breakout of this zone. Regardless of whether Bitcoin will go up, or down, the expiry event is probably a trigger, and not a final point.
With options out of the money and leverage rolling over, the market forces in the spot market reassert control. This change can do a turnaround of the short trends and this is what plays the tone of the next weeks. Having invested so much capital already and the mood already strained, how Bitcoin responds to this expiry may determine the next stage of the market cycle.