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Summary
In summary
- SUI Analysis: D1 regime is bearish with price at 2.49 USDT below the 20/50/200 EMAs.
- RSI at 35.44 → downside bias; buyers look hesitant while oversold is not extreme.
- MACD negative (line -0.25 vs signal -0.21) → momentum still weak, histogram slightly negative.
- Bollinger Bands center 3.00, lower 2.06 → price sits in the lower half, pressure persists.
- ATR14 at 0.43 → moderate daily volatility for risk control around stops and targets.
SUI Analysis — Multi-timeframe view
D1: SUI trades at 2.49 USDT, below the EMA20 (2.87), EMA50 (3.16), and EMA200 (3.36). This alignment shows sellers in control and confirms a prevailing downtrend. RSI at 35.44 stays below 50, signaling bearish bias but not yet extreme selling.
MACD remains negative (line -0.25 under signal -0.21, histogram -0.04), which suggests persistent but measured downside momentum. On Bollinger Bands, price sits well below the 3.00 mid-band and away from the 3.93 upper band, leaning toward the lower side (2.06) — pressure remains, though not a capitulation.
ATR14 at 0.43 indicates moderate daily swings, so risk sizing needs respect for volatility. Finally, the D1 pivot at 2.51 (R1 2.56, S1 2.45) places price a touch below the pivot, hinting at a cautious intraday tone. For more price insights, see SUI price on CoinMarketCap.
H1: At 2.49 USDT, SUI remains under the EMA20 (2.53), EMA50 (2.55), and EMA200 (2.66). This keeps intraday structure bearish. RSI at 36.09 reflects weak demand. The MACD is near flat (line -0.03 vs signal -0.02, hist ~0), showing momentum is fragile and could flip with a small push.
Bollinger mid at 2.54 with bands 2.62/2.45 frames a tight range; price hovers near the lower half, so rallies may be faded. ATR14 at 0.03 shows compressed intraday volatility. The H1 pivot clusters around 2.49 (R1 2.50, S1 2.49), reinforcing a narrow range mood.
M15: Price aligns with the EMA20 at 2.49, below the EMA50 (2.51) and EMA200 (2.55). Micro-structure is neutral-to-soft. RSI at 49.57 sits near 50, suggesting balance. MACD is flat (line 0.00 vs signal -0.01), pointing to indecision.
Bollinger bands are tight (mid 2.49; 2.50/2.47), and ATR14 at 0.01 confirms compression. M15 pivots all at 2.49 reflect stasis — a small push could trigger a quick move.
Takeaway: D1 and H1 lean bearish while M15 compresses. Overall, this SUI Analysis skews cautious: sellers have the trend, but a short-term pop could occur if compression breaks higher.
Key levels for SUI Analysis
| Level | Type | Bias/Note |
|---|---|---|
| 3.36 | EMA200 (D1) | Long-term resistance; trend control above |
| 3.16 | EMA50 (D1) | Medium-term resistance |
| 2.87 | EMA20 (D1) | Near-term resistance; first trend shift if reclaimed |
| 3.00 | Bollinger mid (D1) | Mean-reversion magnet; resistance while below |
| 3.93 | Bollinger upper (D1) | Stretch target in strong rallies |
| 2.06 | Bollinger lower (D1) | Major downside extension support |
| 2.51 | Pivot PP (D1) | Intraday pivot; resistance if price stays below |
| 2.56 | Pivot R1 (D1) | First upside trigger/target |
| 2.45 | Pivot S1 (D1) | Initial downside support |
| 2.66 | EMA200 (H1) | Intraday trend cap |
Focus: The 2.45–2.56 band anchors near-term support and resistance; a decisive break could set the next leg. For related analysis, see news on the performance of SUI and ONDO.
SUI Analysis — Trading scenarios
Bearish (main, D1-driven)
Trigger: Failure to reclaim 2.51 PP or a break below 2.45 S1. Target: 2.45 first, then the Bollinger lower band area near 2.06 if momentum builds. Invalidation: Strong push above 2.56 (R1) would weaken the immediate bearish case. Risk: Consider stops around 0.5–1.0× ATR14 (≈0.22–0.43 USDT) given current daily volatility.
Bullish
Trigger: Break and hold above 2.56 (R1) with H1 confirmation; follow-through toward 2.87 (EMA20). Target: 2.87 first, then 3.00 (Bollinger mid) if momentum improves. Invalidation: Back below 2.49–2.51 pivot zone undermines the breakout. Risk: With ATR14 at 0.43, stops of roughly 0.22–0.43 USDT could align with volatility.
Neutral
Trigger: Sustained range between 2.45 and 2.56 alongside flat MACD histogram and low intraday ATR. Target: Mean-reversion rotations around 2.51 PP. Invalidation: Clear D1 close outside 2.45/2.56. Risk: Range strategies might use tighter control near 0.5× ATR14 (≈0.22 USDT) to avoid chop.
For a cross-crypto perspective on current trading conditions, explore price trends of SUI, PI, and Dogecoin.
Market context
- Total crypto market cap: 3763256122129.48 USD; 24h change: -2.45%.
- BTC dominance: 57.46% → higher dominance often pressures altcoins.
- Fear & Greed Index: 34 (Fear) → risk appetite is muted.
Read: In this backdrop, SUI Analysis leans cautious — high BTC dominance and Fear sentiment usually weigh on altcoins. For broader altcoin analysis, visit Solana, SUI and Shiba Inu price analysis.
Ecosystem (DeFi/DEX)
- Cetus AMM: fees 1d -4.96%, 7d -57.45%, 30d -8.23.
- Momentum: fees 1d -9.17%, 7d -43.98%, 30d +391.64.
- Bluefin Spot: fees 1d -8.72%, 7d -13.77%, 30d -8.51.
- DeepBook V3: fees 1d +5.10%, 7d -65.06%, 30d +30.81.
- Kriya CLMM: fees 1d +22.01%, 7d -23.80%, 30d +23.05.
Take: Mixed fee trends suggest selective participation across DeFi platforms — a neutral to slightly cautious SUI Analysis backdrop. For official ecosystem information, see Sui Official Website and further Sui project updates.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.