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Cardano Price Faces Uncertainty, Here’s What’s Likely to Follow

source-logo  beincrypto.com 18 October 2024 08:19, UTC

Cardano (ADA) price has seen a lack of bullish momentum in recent days, leaving its future trajectory uncertain. Despite hopes for a rally, ADA has struggled to break free from its current consolidation range.

The coming days are expected to continue this pattern, as Cardano faces mixed signals from key indicators. ADA’s price outlook appears bleak without significant catalysts, raising concerns among investors.

Cardano Investors Slow Down

Cardano’s correlation to Bitcoin has been dropping sharply, a development that has caught the attention of the market. Currently, the correlation stands at 0.35, marking the lowest level in more than two and a half months.

A lower correlation with Bitcoin means that Cardano is less likely to mirror BTC’s price movements. Given Bitcoin’s proximity to breaching the $68,000 mark, Cardano’s weakened correlation suggests that ADA may not experience the same level of growth, limiting its upside potential.

Cardano Correlation with Bitcoin. Source: TradingView

Cardano’s macro momentum is equally concerning. The realized profits/loss indicator currently shows that most ADA holders are experiencing losses. As a result, investors are less inclined to sell their holdings, preferring to hold onto their assets until prices recover. This “HODL” mentality suggests that selling pressure is low, but it also means that ADA does not see significant buying activity.

The lack of realized profits has led to a stagnant market environment for Cardano. ADA is unlikely to break out of its current range without fresh capital inflows or a change in sentiment.

Cardano Realized Losses. Source: Santiment

ADA Price Prediction: Remaining Rangebound

Cardano’s price has been oscillating between $0.37 and $0.33 since the beginning of October. This consolidation is likely to continue as market forces remain balanced. Investors should expect ADA to stay within this range for the foreseeable future unless a major event shifts the market dynamic.

The mixed signals from Cardano’s macro indicators make it difficult to predict a clear path forward. While a bounce off the $0.33 support level is likely, a breach of the $0.37 resistance remains uncertain. This range-bound movement highlights the challenges facing Cardano’s price action.

Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

It could provide a clearer direction if Cardano breaches either of these levels. A breakout above $0.37 could push the price toward $0.40, while a fall below $0.33 would likely lead to a drawdown to $0.31.

beincrypto.com