SUI, ARB, APT: Are These Tokens at Risk of a Price Crash in August 2025?

As August 2025 approaches, the market prepares for a major event: over $1 billion worth of token unlocks across key projects like SUI, Arbitrum (ARB), and Aptos (APT). These unlocks are expected to release large amounts of tokens into circulation, raising concerns among traders and investors about possible price swings. In this article, we examine the implications of these unlocks, assess their potential effect on token prices, and offer practical guidance for navigating this critical moment in the crypto market.

What are Token Unlocks?

Token unlocks are common in cryptocurrency projects, meant to control how tokens are released into the market over time. When projects launch, some of their total token supply is often “locked” for early investors, team members, advisors, or other stakeholders. These tokens are gradually released according to a set vesting schedule, known as a token unlock.

To illustrate, imagine a startup promising an investor $100,000 but paying it out in $10,000 segments over ten months. Each monthly payout is an “unlock.” In crypto, when large amounts of tokens are unlocked at once, the increased supply can impact market dynamics, possibly affecting prices if demand doesn’t match supply.

Major Token Unlocks in August 2025

Several high-profile projects are scheduled to unlock tokens, collectively valued at over $1 billion this month. Below is a detailed breakdown of the most significant unlocks:

These unlocks, especially for SUI, APT, and ARB, make up substantial portions of their circulating supplies and raise questions about their potential effect on market stability.

Protecting your cryptocurrency, whether it’s pumping or dumping due to token unlocks, is always essential. Using a cold wallet like Tangem keeps your tokens safe from hackers and exchange issues.

Tangem’s credit card design makes it easy to use while keeping your private keys secure. It’s a good choice for safely holding tokens like SUI, APT, and ARB when the market is volatile.

Will Token Unlocks Trigger Price Declines?

The influx of new tokens into the market can put downward pressure on prices, especially if early investors or team members decide to sell their allocations to lock in profits or reallocate capital. Basic economic principles indicate that an increase in supply, without a matching rise in demand, generally leads to price drops. However, the actual effect of token unlocks is complex and depends on several factors.

• Market Expectations: If the unlock is widely anticipated, its effect may already be priced into the token’s value, mitigating significant price swings.

• Holder Behavior: Not all recipients of unlocked tokens sell immediately. Many may opt to hold, especially if they remain confident in the project’s long-term potential.

• Trading Volume: A relatively small unlock may have minimal impact for tokens with high daily trading volumes, as the market can absorb the additional supply.

• Broader Market Conditions: Bullish or bearish trends in the broader cryptocurrency market can amplify or dampen the effects of a token unlock.

For example, SUI’s release of about 34.6% of its total supply is significant and could cause increased volatility, especially if large holders decide to sell. In comparison, APT and ARB’s releases, at 2.5% and 2.6% of their total supplies, respectively, are smaller and likely to have a less noticeable impact, assuming market conditions remain stable.

Strategic Considerations for Investors and Traders

For those holding or trading SUI, APT, ARB, or other affected tokens, the following strategies can help navigate the uncertainties surrounding token unlocks:

• Monitor Key Dates: Mark unlock dates on your calendar and stay informed about project-specific announcements. Sudden changes in schedules or market sentiment can influence outcomes.

• Track Price and Volume Trends: Observe price movements and trading volumes in the days leading up to and following the unlock. Spikes in selling pressure may signal short-term dips, while stable volumes could indicate resilience.

• Avoid Emotional Decisions: Token unlocks are a standard feature of crypto projects, and price dips are often temporary. Avoid panic-selling based on short-term fluctuations.

• Identify Entry Points: For traders, post-unlock price dips may present buying opportunities, particularly for fundamentally strong projects with long-term potential.

• Diversify and Manage Risk: If you hold significant exposure to tokens facing large unlocks, consider diversifying your portfolio to mitigate potential losses.

For newer investors, it’s important to understand that token unlocks are a common practice in the crypto world, similar to stock vesting schedules in traditional finance. They allow projects to reward early supporters while supporting long-term stability, but they also require careful attention to market dynamics.

Conclusion

With over $1 billion in token unlocks scheduled for August 2025, the cryptocurrency market is entering a period of increased activity. Projects like SUI, Arbitrum, and Aptos, with significant unlocks coming up, are under close watch. While price drops are possible due to the larger supply, the actual effect will depend on market expectations, holder behavior, and overall trends.

Good investors and traders will approach these unlocks carefully, using data-driven insights to make smart decisions. By staying alert, monitoring market signals, and avoiding emotional reactions, you can navigate this volatile time confidently. For the latest updates, consider following trustworthy sources on platforms like X or doing your own research to stay ahead.