How Kamala Harris Can Beat Donald Trump?

The Democratic Party decided that Joe Biden can’t beat Donald Trump in the 2024 Presidential Elections. Of course, due to medical reasons, it would appear that Biden is not able to spend another term in the office, so a switch made sense from that point too. Now, the candidate who needs to stand against Donald Trump is Kamala Harris. While those on the political scene know who she is, a casual voter might not be aware of the values she holds dear.

Yet, as a vice-president candidate for Joe Biden, she is more than prepared to take the mantle of the Democratic nominee and the role of the president if the voters decide so. As a new and unique candidate, she brings a special flavor fort with both her appearance and ideas. Recent polling claims that she is more popular among younger voters and people of color than her predecessor Joe Biden was. If we look back at the 2020 elections this could prove to be enough to push the tides of electoral win in her favor against the always divisive Donald Trump.

Information such as these can come in handy if you plan to spend some money with the best 2024 USA election bookmaker. If you’re in a mood to make bets tied to the November elections you should know that Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump among the black voters 78% to 15%. So, her appointment as the official candidate for the Democrats instead of Joe Biden shifted the odds from 70% to 23% that were favoring Biden against Trump too.

When it comes to Hispanic voters, Harris also holds a slight advantage. At the moment she is favored by 47% compared to Trump’s 45%. When Biden was the candidate the odds among Hispanic people were favoring Donald 50% toward Biden’s 41%. So, you can see how much the tides have shifted from polls that were conducted back in April to those that were done recently during the summer.

In little time since she was made the Democratic candidate, Ms. Harris managed to shift the odds in her favor in almost every department. Her biggest wins are coming in those places where Trump’s advantage was evident. When it comes to voters younger than 35 years of age Trump had 49% and Biden held 42% of voters. Nowadays, with Kamala Harris, these odds stand at 47% Harris and 43% Trump. It would appear that Kamala is slowly but steadily receiving more and more support despite being made a late candidate by the Democrats.

When we look at how Trump was handling the situation after an attempt on his life, this shift from him to Kamala Harris doesn’t come as a big surprise. Biden was losing the trust among the groups that have been traditionally leaning toward the Democrats. If single out only the groups that contain black and Hispanic voters his popularity was the lowest among all Democrat candidates in the last 50 years. When you know this data, it is clear that the only way where Kamala Harris could go was up.

While the improvements are noticeable there’s still plenty of work to be done for the newly appointed Democrat candidate. When we compare where she stands at the moment, there is a 5-point difference between her and the position Biden held on the eve of the 2020 elections. When all was said and done during the 2020 electoral campaign Biden led Trump 84% to 9% among the Black voters. While this was to be expected, he also held a massive advantage among the Hispanic voters where he was in the lead 58% to 32% over Trump.

Also, while the meme culture is taking Donald Trump down among the younger voters Kamala Harris is still nowhere close to the lead Biden had over Trump in 2020 among the voters younger than 35. At the end of the campaign back in 2020, Biden held 60% of voters while 31% belonged to Donald Trump. Harris is in the lead at the moment but she is nowhere near the difference Biden managed to create.

When it comes to electoral campaigns it is important to have leads like these, to hold and improve them. If Kamala Harris is to have any chance of winning against Donald Trump she needs to do better in the next two months if she’s to have any chance of beating Trump on the 5th of November. On the bright side, since taking over the candidature from Joe Biden she’s constantly on the rise among the groups that she needs to take over even more to prevail over Trump.

In little time she is the candidate, Harris has wisely spent her time to make an identity for herself as the presidential candidate which needs to differ from the one she held as the vice-president nominee. If she manages to do this, her appeal to younger voters and those of color will only increase with time. The only issue is that the time she has for campaigning is limited. Yet, having an advantage within these groups compared to Joe Biden means that her chances to win the Electoral College might be higher than Biden’s and certainly higher than Trump’s.

The key to winning among the groups as mentioned earlier is to win the Electoral College in the states that compromise the Sun Belt. We’re talking about North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, and Arizona. These states have predominantly Hispanic voters and Democrats have often fared poorly there with Biden not having too good results. With a win in these states, with at least one of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or Nebraska falling her way, Harris can compete with Trump if it counts that the always democratic states stand with her.

As you can see, her path to win is an open one. Yet, a few dominos need to fall her way and vice versa. While she’s pushing for more voters, Trump will not stand still. Many are arguing that we have one of the more interesting presidential races on our hands. We agree! November 5th can’t come fast enough.