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تكتسب Bitcoin القوة بعد تخفيض أسعار الفائدة
لقد نمت عملة البيتكوين tron وتتجه نحو 64000 دولار حتى وقت النشر. وفي الوقت نفسه، يرتفع الذهب في منحنى حاد.
وفقًا لبيانات مجلس الذهب العالمي، يبدو أن أسعار المعدن الأصفر تشهد طلبًا tron خلال الأشهر الثلاثة الماضية. وبما أن الذهب يعتبر أحد الأصول الآمنة، فإن عدم اليقين الاقتصادي يميل إلى دفع الطلب عليه إلى الأعلى.
وفي الولايات المتحدة، أدى خفض بنك الاحتياطي الفيدرالي لسعر الفائدة بمقدار نصف نقطة إلى إثارة قلق المحللين بشأن التباطؤ المحتمل. وفي مناطق أخرى مثل الهند، يشير الربع الأخير من السنة التقويمية إلى الطلب الاحتفالي على الذهب كمعدن ميمون.
اعتبارًا من حركة السعر الحالية، من الممكن defi الذهب على أنه دخل في تقدم مكافئ (باللون الأحمر). من الخطأ السهل جني الأرباح قبل الأوان في تحركات مكافئة. الدورات الصعودية السابقة Bitcoin هي أمثلة على ذلك $GC_F #GOLD pic.twitter.com/jzLEMPcZaM
— بيتر براندت (@PeterLBrandt) 20 سبتمبر 2024
According to analyst Peter Brandt, gold is possibly entering a “parabolic advance” where prices rise very quickly in a short time. Mridul Gupta, Founding Partner at Indian crypto exchange CoinDCX told Cryptopolitan, “Currently, gold is at an all-time high, while Bitcoin is still lagging.”
As of September 2024, Bitcoin is around 14% below its record high of around $74K. However, he explains that there’s often a positive correlation between gold and Bitcoin, indicating that BTC could catch up with gold’s rise.
In the context of the 0.50% interest rate hike in the US, Gupta points out that it is favorable for assets like gold, Bitcoin, and stocks as it makes borrowing cheaper.
Gold and BTC correlation is weak
Maruf Yusuf, co-founder of gold-based stablecoin Deenar (DEEN) told Cryptopolitan that gold serves as a hedge against inflation. He explained, “This sentiment holds today, as seen in retail investors’ huge embrace of the asset in key regions like India, China, and the United States.”
That said, the co-founder adds that BTC has entered a similar territory but its price has been unpredictable, slowing its growth. However, it does seem that the trend is shifting with the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in major countries. He cites data to claim that spot Bitcoin ETF products have become the best-performing assets globally, displacing gold.
At the time of writing, a 30-day Pearson correlation between BTC and gold stands at 0.32 as calculated by the Block. This means that the price movements of Bitcoin and gold currently have a weak and inconsistent positive relationship.
What could change this is the US inflation figures. According to a recent analysis by Bloomberg, the Fed’s actions could align with the economy’s current state. The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell had stated after the rate cuts that the economy was strong, suggesting that the US would not slip into a recession.
Yusuf maintains a strong case for Bitcoin in value preservation. He says that if this trend plays out as projected, demand might surge for gold, BTC, and even gold-backed stablecoins.