Bitcoin retail traders (red line) have been increasingly buying the Bitcoin price dip as whales (green line) have been selling off. Source: Santiment
Santiment pointed out that since Oct. 12, Bitcoin whales — wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 $BTC — have sold approximately 32,500 Bitcoin. However, Santiment added that “small retail wallets have been aggressively buying the dip.”
Bitcoin’s split among the cohorts is a “cautionary signal,” says Santiment
During that time, Bitcoin fell from $115,000 to $98,000 on Nov. 4, representing a decline of around 15%, according to CoinMarketCap. $BTC’s price has since recovered to $103,780 at the time of publication.
Bitcoin is down 15.85% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap
Santiment described it as a “major divergence has appeared between large and small investors.” Santiment said:
“A divergence where whales are selling while retail is buying can be a cautionary signal.”
Other analysts are divided on how the coming weeks will play out for Bitcoin.
Bitfinex analysts told Cointelegraph that they expect near-term consolidation and some volatility, rather than “a clear sprint to new highs.”
“We believe ETF inflows earlier in October pushed the price to around $125,000, before mid-month macro shocks, a major options expiry, and profit-taking knocked it back into the high $100,000s,” the analysts said.
On Friday, spot Bitcoin ETFs broke a six-day outflow streak that saw $2.04 billion in outflows, according to Farside.
Bitcoin has a chance of climbing to $130,000 if conditions improve: Analysts
They explained that if spot Bitcoin ETF inflows return to delivering above $1 billion inflows per week and macro conditions improve, Bitcoin may have a chance to climb toward $130,000.
Meanwhile, Nansen senior research analyst Jake Kennis told Cointelegraph that although Bitcoin has historically posted year-over-year gains, “the recent liquidation and breakdown in market structure make it far less probable in the near term.”
“That said, there’s still room for meaningful upside into year-end,” Kennis said, explaining that a new all-time highs are still possible for Bitcoin this year if momentum does “shift decisively.”