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BTC Loses 15% Weekly, Will $20K Hold or is Another Crash Imminent? (Bitcoin Price Analysis)

source-logo  cryptopotato.com 11 March 2023 20:56, UTC

The instability of Circle’s USDC has caused extreme fear in the market, as stablecoins play a crucial role in the cryptocurrency industry. Bitcoin’s price was affected by the recent turmoil and has declined, but it faces a strong support level.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

Recently, the price of Bitcoin experienced a downtrend with noticeable bearish momentum after forming a reversal three-drives pattern and breaking down the neckline. The recent turmoil with USDC served as a catalyst for the bearish trend and pushed the price down toward the $19K level.

However, the price faces significant support at the 200-day moving average, approximately at $19.6K, and is attempting to surpass it. This moving average is a powerful support level, and the bears might find it difficult to push the price below it.

Despite this, the daily timeframe suggests that bearish momentum has weakened, and a short-term consolidation stage may occur before the next impulsive move.

The 4-Hour Chart

The price of Bitcoin has experienced a massive decline after breaking the critical support level of $22K, resulting in consecutive big red candles. However, every impulsive trend requires a cool-down phase, along with a correction.

Bitcoin appears to have entered the mid-trend correction stage after reaching a decisive price level at $20K. This level also serves as sentimental support. Additionally, the 61.8 level of the Fibonacci retracement for the recent bullish trend aligns with the $20K level of support, making it a substantial level.

Therefore, the price may consolidate in the current region, forming a correction pattern before trending lower.

On-chain Analysis

By Shayan

The cryptocurrency market has once again entered a stage of fear and uncertainty due to the recent turmoil with Circle and the failure of SVB bank. As a result, market participants have capitulated and rapidly sold their assets to manage their risks.

The Funding Rates metric provides insight into traders’ sentiment and has recently declined impulsively, coinciding with a shakeout in Bitcoin’s price. Traders must be careful and monitor the perpetual market closely in case of another sudden price move.

Despite this, the market may become highly volatile with no specific direction in the upcoming days.