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XRP Price Prediction: Trade against retail, you'll win every time

source-logo  fxstreet.com 29 September 2022 04:02, UTC
  • Six  out of ten retail traders are shorting XRP price at the current time.
  • Ripple price has ascended 10% in less than 24 hours.
  • Invalidation of the bullish thesis is a breach of $0.31.

Ripple's XRP price shows retail traders are leaning bearish. A pump to liquidate retail bears is a valid scenario.

XRP price poised to go higher

XRP price is showing applaudable retaliation signals. Since September 25, the bears have conquered the market, forging a 20% loss in market value for the digital remittance token. After an early morning liquidation on Wednesday, the bulls stepped back into the market, prompting a 10% increase in less than 24 hours.

XRP price currently auctions at $0.45. Accompanied with the favorable technicals are rather interesting on-chain metrics. Specifically, the Coinglass Long Vs. Short Indicator. According to recent data,  six out of every ten XRP traders are currently going short. The last time retail traders were positioned so heavily to the downside was September 20, when XRP traded at $0.37. Three days later, by September 23, XRP rallied 47% into the September high at $0.56."

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Coinglass Long Vs. Short Ratio

tm;xrp/9/28/22

XRP USDT 4-Hour Chart

Combining the on-chain and technical factors, an XRP pump should not be ruled off the table. If the market is genuinely bullish, a conservative target should be between $0.56 and $0.61. Such a move would result in a 33% increase from the current XRP price.

For our readers' safety, the bullish thesis's safest invalidation should remain below the summer swing low at $0.31. Traders with a higher risk tolerance may want to dive deeper into the technicals near $0.35 and $0.41 to see if a tighter risk-to-reward ratio correlates with their trading style.

fxstreet.com