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Famous economist and cryptocurrency analyst Timothy Peterson made some bold predictions about the future of Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market in a recent analysis.
Peterson's analysis is based on a chart showing Bitcoin's price behavior for the median year since 2011 and projected through 2024. Peterson noted the close alignment of the chart over the last few weeks until the peak at day 188. This chart also presents a realistic base case scenario of a rally to the mid-70s, followed by the usual August-September pullback, followed by a fourth quarter rally to $98k by the end of the year.
In addition to Bitcoin, Peterson also made a prediction about Dogecoin, stating that it could be worth $1 in two years.
Peterson recently published an in-depth analysis on the significant correlation between high-yield (HY) corporate bond rates and Bitcoin prices. He stated that changes in these rates could indicate broader investor sentiment and risk tolerance.
Peterson supports his analysis with two important graphs. The first chart reveals a positive correlation between HY bond rates and the price of Bitcoin. As HY rates rise, so does Bitcoin. This pattern means that increased risk appetite in the bond market, signaled by rising HY rates, could lead to greater investment in riskier assets such as Bitcoin.
The second chart from Peterson highlights similar trends in the price movements of HY bonds and Bitcoin over time. ICE notes that the BofA US High Yield Index Effective Yield is a strong predictor of Bitcoin's price fluctuations. Notably, Bitcoin prices tend to rise when this rate drops.
Peterson also notes that markets typically experience a “flat and choppy” period between September and October. As the US election approaches, he predicts uncertainty will increase throughout October and continue until Election Day on November 4.
*This is not investment advice.